Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Blagoy Ivanov has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Blagoy Ivanov (53.5%).
- Derrick Lewis has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick LewisL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26L
KOvs Josh Hokit · Jun 26 Blagoy IvanovL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Augusto Sakai · May 20W
vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · May 22L
vs Marcin Tybura · Feb 23L
vs Alexandr Romanov · Jul 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricBlagoy Ivanov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.11evenly matched on net striking-0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Derrick LewisBlagoy Ivanov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Blagoy Ivanov(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +14.9|Blue -14.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Derrick LewisTargetBlagoy Ivanov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Derrick Lewis edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control1:54
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:44Control
Round 2Blagoy Ivanov edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:13
9Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:33Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:05Control
