Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Evan Dunham enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Evan Dunham has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Evan Dunham (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe Lauzon
oldest →L
KOvs Clay Guida · Nov 17L
KOvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Apr 18W
KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 19 Evan DunhamL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Ross Pearson · Jul 15L
KOvs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Apr 18L
KOvs Francisco Trinaldo · Sep 18L
SUBvs Herbert Burns · Jun 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe LauzonMetricEvan Dunham
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.55Δ 4.34 — meaningful gap+1.79
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joe LauzonEvan Dunham
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Lauzon(10 fights)Evan Dunham(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +107.0|Blue -107.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joe LauzonTargetEvan Dunham
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Evan Dunham edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:14
39Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 2Evan Dunham edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:37Control
Round 3Evan Dunham edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
52Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
