Featherweight

3 Rounds

Danny Silva won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1477

Elo1527

Kurtis CampbellvsDanny SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · Saturday, March 21, 2026London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Danny Silva won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:31

Style matchupKurtis Campbell: WrestlervsDanny Silva: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Danny Silva wins(66.4%)

Actual result: Danny Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Danny Silva at +184 American odds

+$184 profit

$284 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Danny Silva has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Danny Silva has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Kurtis Campbell

Red Corner

Danny Silva

Blue Corner

-230

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+184

(35%)

1477

Elo

1527

Age

Switch

Stance

Switch

5'9"

Height

5'7"

182.88 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kurtis CampbellNo prior UFC fights on record.

Danny Silva

oldest →

vs Josh Culibao · Mar 24

vs Lucas Almeida · Mar 25

vs Kevin Vallejos · Aug 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kurtis CampbellMetricDanny Silva

3.50

Strikes / min

6.35

2.63

Strikes absorbed / min

7.10

51%

Strike defense

61%

8.76

TDs / 15 min

2.06

50%

Takedown defense

75%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.87Δ 1.62 — meaningful gap-0.75

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kurtis CampbellDanny Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kurtis Campbell(1 fights)Danny Silva(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +49.4|Blue -49.4

Grappler Score

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kurtis CampbellTargetDanny Silva

By target zone

41% acc · 71%

Head

42% acc · 69%

25% acc · 12%

Body

80% acc · 25%

75% acc · 18%

Leg

100% acc · 6%

By position

38% acc · 88%

Distance

48% acc · 69%

100% acc · 12%

Clinch

57% acc · 25%

Ground

50% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kurtis Campbell rounds

even

Danny Silva rounds

Round 1Kurtis Campbell edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns2

Control1:56

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:56Control

Round 2Danny Silva edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

2Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 41

Sig Strikes

16 / 32

40.5%

Sig Str %

56.5%

17 / 43

Total Strikes

20 / 36

2 / 5

TDs

1 / 1

40%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

1:56

Ctrl Time

1:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Danny Silva	6 / 20	9 / 23	1 / 1
1	Kurtis Campbell	15 / 36	15 / 38	2 / 5
2	Danny Silva	10 / 12	11 / 13	0 / 0
2	Kurtis Campbell	2 / 5	2 / 5	0 / 0

Kurtis Campbell

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights1

Danny Silva

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights4