Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kailin Curran enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Paige VanZant threatens submissions; Kailin Curran has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Kailin Curran threatens submissions; Paige VanZant has lost 75% of fights by sub.
- Kailin Curran has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kailin Curran has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paige VanZant
oldest →W
KOvs Bec Rawlings · Aug 16L
SUBvs Michelle Waterson · Dec 16L
vs Jessica-Rose Clark · Jan 18W
SUBvs Rachael Ostovich · Jan 19L
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jul 20 Kailin CurranL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Emily Peters Kagan · Dec 15L
SUBvs Felice Herrig · Jul 16L
DECvs Alexandra Albu · Jul 17L
DECvs Yan Xiaonan · Nov 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paige VanZantMetricKailin Curran
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.73Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap-0.86
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paige VanZant(9 fights)Kailin Curran(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +129.7|Blue -129.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Paige VanZantTargetKailin Curran
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Paige VanZant edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control1:46
16Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:34Control
Round 2Paige VanZant edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control3:21
7Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
0:54Control
Round 3Paige VanZant edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns2
Control2:27
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
