Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Saparbeg Safarov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Nicolae Negumereanu has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nicolae Negumereanu
oldest →W
vs Aleksa Camur · Jun 21W
KOvs Ike Villanueva · Oct 21W
vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 22W
KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jul 22L
KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Nov 22 Saparbeg SafarovL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Gian Villante · Dec 16L
SUBvs Tyson Pedro · Feb 18L
SUBvs Rodolfo Vieira · Mar 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nicolae NegumereanuMetricSaparbeg Safarov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.98Δ 3.05 — meaningful gap+1.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nicolae NegumereanuSaparbeg Safarov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nicolae Negumereanu(6 fights)Saparbeg Safarov(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +7.1|Blue -7.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +48.8|Blue -48.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nicolae NegumereanuTargetSaparbeg Safarov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Nicolae Negumereanu rounds
Round 1Saparbeg Safarov edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:00Control
Round 2Saparbeg Safarov edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
35Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:15Control
Round 3Saparbeg Safarov edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:31Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
