Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Weidman has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Chris Weidman has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jesse BongfeldtNo prior UFC fights on record.
Chris Weidman
oldest →W
DECvs Omari Akhmedov · Aug 20L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Apr 21L
vs Brad Tavares · Aug 23L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jesse BongfeldtMetricChris Weidman
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.90Δ 2.16 — meaningful gap-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jesse BongfeldtChris Weidman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jesse Bongfeldt(1 fights)Chris Weidman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -4.3|Blue +4.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jesse BongfeldtTargetChris Weidman
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Chris Weidman edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:46Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
