Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sam StoutL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs James Krause · Jun 13W
vs Cody McKenzie · Dec 13L
KOvs Ross Pearson · Mar 15L
KOvs Frankie Perez · Aug 15 KJ NoonsL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Donald Cerrone · May 13W
vs George Sotiropoulos · Oct 13L
SUBvs Alex Oliveira · May 15L
vs Joshua Burkman · Feb 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sam StoutMetricKJ Noons
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sam StoutKJ Noons
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sam Stout(10 fights)KJ Noons(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.1|Blue -2.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -56.0|Blue +56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1KJ Noons edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
