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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Kurtis Campbell won · Submission R3
Elo1478
Elo1493
Trevor Peek

Kurtis CampbellvsTrevor PeekUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · Saturday, September 5, 2026Paris, France

Official fight result

Kurtis Campbell won

Submission · Round 3 · 3:07

Engine 7.0 was wrong

Pre-fight pick: Trevor Peek

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Trevor Peek at +274 American odds · hypothetical only

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Style matchupKurtis Campbell: WrestlervsTrevor Peek: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Tale of the Tape

Kurtis Campbell
Red Corner
VS
Trevor Peek
Blue Corner
-352
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+274
(27%)
1478
Elo
1493
24
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Switch
5'9"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kurtis Campbell
oldest →
L
KOvs Danny Silva · Mar 26
latest
Trevor PeekL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Erick Gonzalez · Feb 23
L
vs Chepe Mariscal · Jun 23
W
vs Mohammad Yahya · Oct 23
L
vs Charlie Campbell · Apr 24
L
vs Yanal Ashmouz · Sep 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kurtis CampbellMetricTrevor Peek
3.50
Strikes / min
4.39
2.63
Strikes absorbed / min
3.88
51%
Strike defense
43%
8.76
TDs / 15 min
1.45
50%
Takedown defense
52%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.87evenly matched on net striking+0.51
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Kurtis Campbell(1 fights)Trevor Peek(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -14.5|Blue +14.5
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Layoff
Red -560.0|Blue +560.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kurtis CampbellTargetTrevor Peek

By target zone

36
75% acc · 82%
Head
5
20% acc · 42%
7
64% acc · 16%
Body
4
100% acc · 33%
1
50% acc · 2%
Leg
3
50% acc · 25%

By position

17
61% acc · 39%
Distance
10
31% acc · 83%
1
33% acc · 2%
Clinch
2
67% acc · 17%
26
87% acc · 59%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Kurtis Campbell rounds
0
even
0
Trevor Peek rounds
Round 1Kurtis Campbell edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns7
Control3:31
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Kurtis Campbell edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns3
Control4:40
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Kurtis Campbell edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns3
Control2:09
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
44 / 61
Sig Strikes
12 / 35
77.3%
Sig Str %
35.3%
79 / 108
Total Strikes
17 / 40
13 / 24
TDs
0 / 0
52.7%
TD %
—
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
10:20
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Trevor Peek6 / 187 / 190 / 00
1Kurtis Campbell34 / 4742 / 577 / 120
2Trevor Peek2 / 55 / 80 / 00
2Kurtis Campbell4 / 426 / 343 / 60
3Trevor Peek4 / 125 / 130 / 00
3Kurtis Campbell6 / 1011 / 173 / 61

The Pick

Vegas favorite
Kurtis Campbell
Odds
-352

Market-implied probability

Trevor Peek 26%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Kurtis Campbell$128
Trevor Peek (model pick · research)$374

26% market-implied · model 53% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC · never rewritten

Kurtis Campbell

StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2

Trevor Peek

StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6