Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Wilson Reis enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Ben Nguyen has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ben Nguyen (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Wilson ReisL4 streak
oldest →W
DECvs Ulka Sasaki · Feb 17L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Apr 17L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Sep 17L
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Apr 19 Ben Nguyen
oldest →W
SUBvs Ryan Benoit · Nov 15L
KOvs Louis Smolka · Jul 16W
vs Geane Herrera · Nov 16W
SUBvs Tim Elliott · Jun 17L
SUBvs Jussier Formiga · Feb 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Wilson ReisMetricBen Nguyen
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.21Δ 1.71 — meaningful gap+0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Wilson ReisBen Nguyen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Wilson Reis(10 fights)Ben Nguyen(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +122.4|Blue -122.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -63.0|Blue +63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Wilson ReisTargetBen Nguyen
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Wilson Reis edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns3
Control2:28
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 2Wilson Reis edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns2
Control2:27
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
Round 3Wilson Reis edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns2
Control1:03
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
