Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jonathan Pearce enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Pearce (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jonathan PearceL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Makwan Amirkhani · Jul 22W
vs Darren Elkins · Dec 22L
SUBvs Joanderson Brito · Nov 23L
SUBvs Pat Sabatini · Oct 24 Omar MoralesL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Gabriel Benitez · May 20L
vs Giga Chikadze · Oct 20L
KOvs Uros Medic · May 22L
vs Chris Duncan · Mar 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jonathan PearceMetricOmar Morales
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.80Δ 1.56 — meaningful gap+0.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jonathan PearceOmar Morales
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jonathan Pearce(9 fights)Omar Morales(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +41.0|Blue -41.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +119.0|Blue -119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jonathan PearceTargetOmar Morales
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jonathan Pearce edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns4
Control2:22
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Round 2Jonathan Pearce edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns2
Control3:11
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
