Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Chiesa enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michael Chiesa (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael ChiesaW3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jul 23W
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Aug 24W
SUBvs Max Griffin · Dec 24W
SUBvs Niko Price · Mar 26 Court McGee
oldest →W
vs Ramiz Brahimaj · Jan 22L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 22L
KOvs Matt Brown · May 23W
SUBvs Tim Means · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael ChiesaMetricCourt McGee
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.29evenly matched on net striking+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Michael ChiesaCourt McGee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael Chiesa(10 fights)Court McGee(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +36.3|Blue -36.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.8|Blue +1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -63.0|Blue +63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Michael ChiesaTargetCourt McGee
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Michael Chiesa edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Michael Chiesa edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:21
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Michael Chiesa edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control1:11
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:45Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
