Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Taylor Lapilus has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Taylor Lapilus (53.5%).
- Taylor Lapilus has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Taylor LapilusW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Caolan Loughran · Sep 23L
vs Farid Basharat · Jan 24W
vs Cody Stamann · Jun 24W
vs Vince Morales · Sep 24 Leandro Issa
oldest →L
SUBvs Russell Doane · Jan 14W
SUBvs Jumabieke Tuerxun · Jul 14W
SUBvs Ulka Sasaki · Dec 14L
vs Iuri Alcantara · Aug 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Taylor LapilusMetricLeandro Issa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.98Δ 3.07 — meaningful gap-1.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Taylor LapilusLeandro Issa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Taylor Lapilus(8 fights)Leandro Issa(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +152.5|Blue -152.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -112.0|Blue +112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Taylor LapilusTargetLeandro Issa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:55Control
Round 2Taylor Lapilus edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:26
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:01Control
Round 3Taylor Lapilus edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:31
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:33Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
