Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Claudia Gadelha
oldest →W
SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Jun 17L
vs Jessica Andrade · Sep 17L
vs Nina Ansaroff · Dec 18 Carla EsparzaL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Jul 20W
KOvs Yan Xiaonan · May 21W
vs Rose Namajunas · May 22L
SUBvs Zhang Weili · Nov 22L
vs Tecia Pennington · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Claudia GadelhaMetricCarla Esparza
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.26evenly matched on net striking-0.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Claudia GadelhaCarla Esparza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Claudia Gadelha(10 fights)Carla Esparza(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -4.2|Blue +4.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +99.0|Blue -99.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Claudia GadelhaTargetCarla Esparza
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Claudia Gadelha edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control0:59
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:14Control
Round 2Carla Esparza edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns2
Control2:44
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:16Control
Round 3Carla Esparza edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control1:17
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:06Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
