Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark Munoz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Luke Barnatt has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mark MunozL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Chris Weidman · Jul 12L
KOvs Lyoto Machida · Oct 13L
SUBvs Gegard Mousasi · May 14L
SUBvs Roan Carneiro · Feb 15 Luke BarnattL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Andrew Craig · Oct 13W
KOvs Mats Nilsson · Mar 14L
vs Sean Strickland · May 14L
vs Roger Narvaez · Nov 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mark MunozMetricLuke Barnatt
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.86evenly matched on net striking+0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mark MunozLuke Barnatt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mark Munoz(10 fights)Luke Barnatt(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +135.7|Blue -135.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -98.0|Blue +98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mark MunozTargetLuke Barnatt
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mark Munoz edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns4
Control2:49
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control2:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Mark Munoz edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns4
Control3:04
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
