Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Warlley Alves enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jeremiah Wells (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Warlley AlvesL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Randy Brown · Nov 19W
KOvs Mounir Lazzez · Jan 21L
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jan 23L
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Oct 23L
vs Abus Magomedov · May 24 Jeremiah Wells
oldest →W
KOvs Court McGee · Jun 22W
vs Matthew Semelsberger · Apr 23L
SUBvs Carlston Harris · Aug 23W
vs Themba Gorimbo · Nov 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Warlley AlvesMetricJeremiah Wells
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.91Δ 1.98 — meaningful gap+1.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Warlley AlvesJeremiah Wells
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Warlley Alves(10 fights)Jeremiah Wells(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -22.7|Blue +22.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.5|Blue +48.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Warlley AlvesTargetJeremiah Wells
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jeremiah Wells edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:22
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:29Control
Round 2Jeremiah Wells edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
