Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe DuffyL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Dustin Poirier · Jan 16L
KOvs James Vick · Nov 17L
vs Marc Diakiese · Mar 19L
SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Jul 20 Mitch ClarkeL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Anton Kuivanen · Jul 12W
vs John Maguire · Jun 13W
SUBvs Al Iaquinta · May 14L
vs Michael Chiesa · Apr 15L
KOvs Alex White · Sep 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe DuffyMetricMitch Clarke
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.10evenly matched on net striking-0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joe DuffyMitch Clarke
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Duffy(8 fights)Mitch Clarke(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +24.8|Blue -24.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -273.0|Blue +273.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joe DuffyTargetMitch Clarke
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joe Duffy edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:15
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
