Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yan CabralL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Zak Cummings · May 14W
SUBvs Naoyuki Kotani · Oct 14L
KOvs Reza Madadi · May 16 David Mitchell
oldest →L
vs TJ Waldburger · Sep 10L
vs Paulo Thiago · Aug 11W
vs Simeon Thoresen · Jan 13L
KOvs Mike Pierce · Jul 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yan CabralMetricDavid Mitchell
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.04evenly matched on net striking-0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Yan CabralDavid Mitchell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yan Cabral(5 fights)David Mitchell(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +4.4|Blue -4.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +48.9|Blue -48.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.2|Blue -49.2
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Yan CabralTargetDavid Mitchell
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Yan Cabral edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control3:40
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:29Control
Round 2Yan Cabral edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns2
Control4:24
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:21Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Yan Cabral edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control4:03
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
