Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gleison Tibau enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Gleison Tibau has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Desmond GreenW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Rustam Khabilov · Sep 17L
vs Michel Prazeres · Feb 18L
vs Mairbek Taisumov · Sep 18W
KOvs Ross Pearson · Mar 19W
vs Charles Jourdain · May 19 Gleison TibauL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Piotr Hallmann · Sep 14W
vs Norman Parke · Jan 15L
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Feb 15L
vs Abel Trujillo · Nov 15L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Desmond GreenMetricGleison Tibau
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.19Δ 1.75 — meaningful gap-0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Desmond GreenGleison Tibau
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Desmond Green(7 fights)Gleison Tibau(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +126.0|Blue -126.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Desmond GreenTargetGleison Tibau
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Desmond Green edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Desmond Green edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Desmond Green edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
