Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bartosz Fabinski has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Bartosz Fabinski has a 20cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michel PrazeresL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Mads Burnell · Sep 17W
vs Desmond Green · Feb 18W
vs Zak Cummings · May 18L
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Feb 19L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Jun 21 Bartosz FabinskiL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Garreth McLellan · Apr 15W
vs Hector Urbina · Nov 15L
SUBvs Andre Muniz · Sep 20L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michel PrazeresMetricBartosz Fabinski
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.13evenly matched on net striking+0.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Michel PrazeresBartosz Fabinski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michel Prazeres(10 fights)Bartosz Fabinski(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +4.3|Blue -4.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +64.0|Blue -64.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Michel PrazeresTargetBartosz Fabinski
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Michel Prazeres edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control0:48
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
