Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dong Hyun Kim has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Dong Hyun Kim has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dong Hyun Kim (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dong Hyun Kim
oldest →W
KOvs John Hathaway · Mar 14L
KOvs Tyron Woodley · Aug 14W
SUBvs Joshua Burkman · May 15W
vs Tarec Saffiedine · Dec 16L
vs Colby Covington · Jun 17 Dominic WatersL2 streak
oldest →L
vs George Sullivan · Jul 15L
vs Leon Edwards · May 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dong Hyun KimMetricDominic Waters
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.23Δ 2.28 — meaningful gap-2.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dong Hyun KimDominic Waters
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dong Hyun Kim(10 fights)Dominic Waters(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +133.9|Blue -133.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dong Hyun KimTargetDominic Waters
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dong Hyun Kim edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control2:00
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:53Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
