Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Josh Parisian enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Don'Tale MayesL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Nov 23W
vs Caio Machado · Apr 24L
vs Shamil Gaziev · Aug 24L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Feb 25L
vs Thomas Petersen · May 25 Josh ParisianL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Roque Martinez · Jun 21W
KOvs Alan Baudot · Jun 22L
vs Jamal Pogues · Feb 23L
SUBvs Martin Buday · Aug 23L
KOvs Robelis Despaigne · Mar 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Don'Tale MayesMetricJosh Parisian
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.39evenly matched on net striking-0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Don'Tale MayesJosh Parisian
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Don'Tale Mayes(10 fights)Josh Parisian(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -8.7|Blue +8.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +217.0|Blue -217.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Don'Tale MayesTargetJosh Parisian
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Don'Tale Mayes edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns3
Control4:05
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 2Don'Tale Mayes edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control4:27
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
Round 3Don'Tale Mayes edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns2
Control3:00
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
