Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Robert Whittaker has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Clint Hester has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robert Whittaker
oldest →W
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 24L
vs Reinier de Ridder · Jul 25W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 26 Clint HesterL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Dylan Andrews · Dec 13W
vs Antonio Braga Neto · Jun 14L
KOvs Vitor Miranda · Aug 15L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Apr 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robert WhittakerMetricClint Hester
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.03Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap-0.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Robert WhittakerClint Hester
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robert Whittaker(10 fights)Clint Hester(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +154.3|Blue -154.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Robert WhittakerTargetClint Hester
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Robert Whittaker edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns1
Control2:15
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Robert Whittaker edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:27Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
