Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shavkat Rakhmonov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Shavkat Rakhmonov has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shavkat RakhmonovW5 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Michel Prazeres · Jun 21W
KOvs Carlston Harris · Feb 22W
SUBvs Neil Magny · Jun 22W
SUBvs Geoff Neal · Mar 23W
vs Ian Machado Garry · Dec 24 Stephen ThompsonL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Gilbert Burns · Jul 21L
vs Belal Muhammad · Dec 21W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 22L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Oct 24L
vs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shavkat RakhmonovMetricStephen Thompson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.08evenly matched on net striking+1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Shavkat RakhmonovStephen Thompson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shavkat Rakhmonov(7 fights)Stephen Thompson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +39.6|Blue -39.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -91.0|Blue +91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Shavkat RakhmonovTargetStephen Thompson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Shavkat Rakhmonov rounds
Round 1Shavkat Rakhmonov edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control3:25
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Shavkat Rakhmonov edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control4:20
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
