Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Aguilar enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Zubaira Tukhugov has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Zubaira Tukhugov has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Kevin Aguilar has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin AguilarL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Enrique Barzola · Mar 19L
vs Charles Rosa · Jun 20 Zubaira Tukhugov
oldest →W
vs Phillipe Nover · Dec 15L
vs Renato Moicano · May 16L
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Sep 20W
vs Ricardo Ramos · Oct 21L
vs Elves Brener · Feb 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin AguilarMetricZubaira Tukhugov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.85evenly matched on net striking+0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kevin AguilarZubaira Tukhugov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Aguilar(6 fights)Zubaira Tukhugov(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -95.9|Blue +95.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -1134.0|Blue +1134.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kevin AguilarTargetZubaira Tukhugov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Zubaira Tukhugov edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
2Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
