Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Gustafsson enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Alexander Gustafsson has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vladimir Matyushenko
oldest →W
vs Eliot Marshall · Mar 10W
KOvs Alexandre Ferreira · Nov 10W
KOvs Jason Brilz · Apr 11L
SUBvs Ryan Bader · Jan 13 Alexander GustafssonL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Glover Teixeira · May 17L
SUBvs Anthony Smith · Jun 19L
SUBvs Fabricio Werdum · Jul 20L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vladimir MatyushenkoMetricAlexander Gustafsson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.28evenly matched on net striking+0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Vladimir MatyushenkoAlexander Gustafsson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vladimir Matyushenko(6 fights)Alexander Gustafsson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -78.6|Blue +78.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Vladimir MatyushenkoTargetAlexander Gustafsson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Vladimir Matyushenko rounds
1
Alexander Gustafsson rounds
Round 1Alexander Gustafsson edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
