Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bartosz Fabinski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Bartosz Fabinski has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Bartosz Fabinski has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Emil Meek (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Emil MeekL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jan 18L
vs Jake Matthews · Feb 20 Bartosz FabinskiL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Garreth McLellan · Apr 15W
vs Hector Urbina · Nov 15L
SUBvs Michel Prazeres · Nov 18L
SUBvs Andre Muniz · Sep 20L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Emil MeekMetricBartosz Fabinski
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.01evenly matched on net striking+0.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Emil MeekBartosz Fabinski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Emil Meek(4 fights)Bartosz Fabinski(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -17.8|Blue +17.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -785.0|Blue +785.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Emil MeekTargetBartosz Fabinski
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Bartosz Fabinski edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:56Control
Round 2Bartosz Fabinski edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:03
8Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
4:30Control
Round 3Bartosz Fabinski edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:10
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:35Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
