Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fernie Garcia enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Hyder Amil enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Hyder Amil has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Hyder Amil (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fernie GarciaL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Journey Newson · May 22L
vs Brady Hiestand · Nov 22L
vs Rinya Nakamura · Aug 23 Hyder AmilL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs JeongYeong Lee · Jul 24W
vs William Gomis · Mar 25L
KOvs Jose Delgado · Jun 25L
vs Jamall Emmers · Nov 25L
SUBvs Christian Rodriguez · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fernie GarciaMetricHyder Amil
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.75Δ 3.61 — meaningful gap+1.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Fernie GarciaHyder Amil
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fernie Garcia(4 fights)Hyder Amil(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +12.1|Blue -12.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Fernie GarciaTargetHyder Amil
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Hyder Amil edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:56
Knockdowns0
39Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:20Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Hyder Amil edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
40Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
