Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Pierce has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike PierceL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Aaron Simpson · Oct 12W
vs Seth Baczynski · Dec 12W
KOvs David Mitchell · Jul 13L
SUBvs Rousimar Palhares · Oct 13L
vs Ryan LaFlare · Dec 15 Kenny RobertsonL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Thiago Perpetuo · Mar 14W
vs Ildemar Alcantara · Jul 14W
KOvs Sultan Aliev · Jan 15L
vs Ben Saunders · Jul 15L
vs Roan Carneiro · Sep 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike PierceMetricKenny Robertson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.26evenly matched on net striking+0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mike PierceKenny Robertson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Pierce(10 fights)Kenny Robertson(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.1|Blue +2.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.4|Blue +47.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mike PierceTargetKenny Robertson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mike Pierce edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns2
Control3:48
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Round 2Mike Pierce edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:10
Knockdowns1
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
