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Flyweight
3 Rounds
Su Mudaerji won · U-DEC
Elo1522
Elo1494

Su MudaerjivsZarrukh AdashevUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · Wednesday, January 20, 2021Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Su Mudaerji won

U-DEC

Model Prediction: Su Mudaerji wins(84.7%)

Actual result: Su Mudaerji wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Su Mudaerji at -400 American odds

+$25 profit

$125 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Su Mudaerji has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Su Mudaerji
Red Corner
VS
Zarrukh Adashev
Blue Corner
-400
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
1522
Elo
1494
25
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'5"
182.88 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Su MudaerjiW2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Louis Smolka · Nov 18
W
vs Andre Soukhamthath · Aug 19
W
KOvs Malcolm Gordon · Nov 20
latest
Zarrukh Adashev
oldest →
L
KOvs Tyson Nam · Jun 20
W
vs Ryan Benoit · Jul 21
L
KOvs Ode Osbourne · Jun 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Su MudaerjiMetricZarrukh Adashev
—
Strikes / min
3.65
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.04
—
Strike defense
64%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.00
—
Takedown defense
100%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1515 vs 1483Strikes5.3 vs 3.8Takedowns0.7 vs 0.0Sub Atts1.30 vs 0.00Form0.8 vs -1.0
Su MudaerjiZarrukh Adashev

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701488150515231540← oldermost recent →
Su Mudaerji(10 fights)Zarrukh Adashev(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +27.4|Blue -27.4
Recent Form
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Striker Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red -168.0|Blue +168.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Su Mudaerji

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4

Zarrukh Adashev

StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights4