Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alessandro Costa enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Alessandro Costa has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Amir AlbaziL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov · Jan 21W
SUBvs Francisco Figueiredo · Aug 22W
vs Kai Kara-France · Jun 23L
vs Brandon Moreno · Nov 24L
vs Kyoji Horiguchi · Feb 26 Alessandro CostaW3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Kevin Borjas · May 24L
KOvs Alden Coria · Sep 25W
KOvs Stewart Nicoll · Apr 26W
KOvs Matt Schnell · Jun 26W
SUBvs Cody Durden · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Amir AlbaziMetricAlessandro Costa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.41Δ 1.42 — meaningful gap+0.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Amir AlbaziAlessandro Costa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Amir Albazi(7 fights)Alessandro Costa(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -49.1|Blue +49.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Amir AlbaziTargetAlessandro Costa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:35
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Amir Albazi edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control4:24
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Amir Albazi edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control0:55
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
