Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felice Herrig enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Felice Herrig threatens submissions; Lisa Ellis has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Felice Herrig has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Felice HerrigL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Cortney Casey · Dec 17L
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Apr 18L
vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 18L
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Aug 20L
SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Jun 22 Lisa Ellis
oldest →L
SUBvs Bec Rawlings · May 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Felice HerrigMetricLisa Ellis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.35evenly matched on net striking-0.64
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Felice Herrig(10 fights)Lisa Ellis(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +71.8|Blue -71.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Felice HerrigTargetLisa Ellis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Felice Herrig edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control2:59
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:49Control
Round 2Felice Herrig edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control1:57
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:56Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
