Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Christian Rodriguez
oldest →W
vs Isaac Dulgarian · Mar 24L
SUBvs Julian Erosa · Jul 24L
vs Melquizael Costa · Mar 25W
SUBvs Hyder Amil · Jun 26 latest Austin Bashi
oldest →W
SUBvs John Yannis · Aug 25L
DECvs Jose Delgado · Jul 26 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Christian RodriguezMetricAustin Bashi
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.00Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap-0.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Christian RodriguezAustin Bashi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Christian Rodriguez(10 fights)Austin Bashi(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +39.5|Blue -39.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Christian RodriguezTargetAustin Bashi
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Christian Rodriguez rounds
Round 1Austin Bashi edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control1:14
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:16Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:24
5Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:44Control
Round 3Christian Rodriguez edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control1:42
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:41Control