Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mateusz Rebecki enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mateusz Rebecki (53.5%).
- Diego Ferreira has a 20cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego FerreiraL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · May 21L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Dec 21W
KOvs Michael Johnson · May 23L
vs Grant Dawson · Jan 25L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Sep 25 Mateusz RebeckiL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Roosevelt Roberts · Nov 23W
vs Myktybek Orolbai · Oct 24L
vs Chris Duncan · Aug 25L
vs Ludovit Klein · Oct 25L
SUBvs Grant Dawson · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego FerreiraMetricMateusz Rebecki
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.24evenly matched on net striking+0.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Diego FerreiraMateusz Rebecki
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Ferreira(10 fights)Mateusz Rebecki(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +15.6|Blue -15.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +175.0|Blue -175.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Diego FerreiraTargetMateusz Rebecki
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mateusz Rebecki edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:16Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Diego Ferreira edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns1
Control0:25
16Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
0:55Control
Round 3Diego Ferreira edged it
Sig. strikes62
Takedowns2
Control1:47
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:15Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
