Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Derrick Lewis is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Gabriel Gonzaga has lost 71% of fights by KO.
- Gabriel Gonzaga has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick LewisL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26L
KOvs Josh Hokit · Jun 26 Gabriel Gonzaga
oldest →W
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Oct 13L
vs Stipe Miocic · Jan 14L
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Dec 14L
KOvs Mirko Cro Cop · Apr 15W
vs Konstantin Erokhin · Dec 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricGabriel Gonzaga
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.11evenly matched on net striking-0.82
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Derrick LewisGabriel Gonzaga
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Gabriel Gonzaga(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -9.0|Blue +9.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -57.0|Blue +57.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Derrick LewisTargetGabriel Gonzaga
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Derrick Lewis edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:39Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
