Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jacare Souza enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jacare Souza has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Vitor Belfort (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jacare SouzaL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Nov 18L
vs Jack Hermansson · Apr 19L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Nov 19L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 20L
SUBvs Andre Muniz · May 21 Vitor Belfort
oldest →L
KOvs Chris Weidman · May 15W
KOvs Dan Henderson · Nov 15L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Oct 16W
vs Nate Marquardt · Jun 17L
KOvs Lyoto Machida · May 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jacare SouzaMetricVitor Belfort
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.30evenly matched on net striking-1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jacare SouzaVitor Belfort
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jacare Souza(10 fights)Vitor Belfort(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -90.7|Blue +90.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jacare SouzaTargetVitor Belfort
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jacare Souza edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns1
Control3:09
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
