Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ismail Naurdiev has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ryan Loder has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ryan Loder (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ismail Naurdiev
oldest →L
vs Chance Rencountre · Jul 19W
vs Siyar Bahadurzada · Sep 19L
vs JunYong Park · Jun 25 Ryan Loder
oldest →W
KOvs Robert Valentin · Aug 24L
KOvs Azamat Bekoev · May 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ismail NaurdievMetricRyan Loder
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.91evenly matched on net striking+2.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ismail NaurdievRyan Loder
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ismail Naurdiev(7 fights)Ryan Loder(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +35.9|Blue -35.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ismail NaurdievTargetRyan Loder
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ismail Naurdiev edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
