Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bobby Voelker enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Lance Benoist has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Lance Benoist (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bobby VoelkerL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Patrick Cote · Mar 13L
KOvs Robbie Lawler · Jul 13L
DECvs William Patolino · Dec 13 Lance BenoistL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Matthew Riddle · Sep 11L
vs Seth Baczynski · Jun 12L
vs Sean Pierson · Sep 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bobby VoelkerMetricLance Benoist
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.83Δ 2.81 — meaningful gap+0.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Bobby VoelkerLance Benoist
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bobby Voelker(4 fights)Lance Benoist(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -137.0|Blue +137.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -462.0|Blue +462.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Bobby VoelkerTargetLance Benoist
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Lance Benoist edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:14
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:28Control
Round 2Lance Benoist edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control1:28
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:18Control
Round 3Lance Benoist edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:34
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:15Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
