Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kyle Noke enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kyle Noke has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kyle Noke has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kyle Noke (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Patrick CoteL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Joshua Burkman · Aug 15W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Jan 16L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jun 16L
vs Thiago Alves · Apr 17 Kyle NokeL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Jonavin Webb · May 15W
KOvs Peter Sobotta · Nov 15L
SUBvs Keita Nakamura · Jul 16L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Nov 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Patrick CoteMetricKyle Noke
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.40Δ 1.54 — meaningful gap+1.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Patrick CoteKyle Noke
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Patrick Cote(10 fights)Kyle Noke(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -175.0|Blue +175.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Patrick CoteTargetKyle Noke
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Patrick Cote edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control2:58
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:22Control
Round 2Kyle Noke edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control2:00
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control2:17
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
