Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Daukaus enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Chris Daukaus is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Aleksei Oleinik has lost 63% of fights by KO.
- Chris Daukaus has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Chris Daukaus has 63pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Aleksei Oleinik has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aleksei Oleinik
oldest →W
vs Fabricio Werdum · May 20L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Aug 20L
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 21W
SUBvs Jared Vanderaa · Apr 22 Chris DaukausL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Shamil Abdurakhimov · Sep 21L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Dec 21L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 22L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 22L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Aug 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aleksei OleinikMetricChris Daukaus
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.51Δ 1.92 — meaningful gap+1.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Aleksei OleinikChris Daukaus
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aleksei Oleinik(10 fights)Chris Daukaus(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +24.4|Blue -24.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +63.0|Blue -63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Aleksei OleinikTargetChris Daukaus
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Chris Daukaus edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:24
34Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
