Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Maki Pitolo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Julian Marquez enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Maki Pitolo is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Julian Marquez has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Julian Marquez threatens submissions; Maki Pitolo has lost 40% of fights by sub.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Maki PitoloL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Callan Potter · Oct 19W
KOvs Charles Byrd · Jun 20L
SUBvs Darren Stewart · Aug 20L
vs Impa Kasanganay · Aug 20L
KOvs Dusko Todorovic · Dec 21 Julian MarquezL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Sam Alvey · Apr 21L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Jun 22L
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Mar 23L
KOvs Zachary Reese · Jun 24L
KOvs Cody Brundage · Mar 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Maki PitoloMetricJulian Marquez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.17evenly matched on net striking-0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Maki PitoloJulian Marquez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Maki Pitolo(6 fights)Julian Marquez(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -69.1|Blue +69.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -785.0|Blue +785.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Maki PitoloTargetJulian Marquez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Maki Pitolo edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control4:24
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
Round 2Maki Pitolo edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns3
Control3:02
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:57Control
Round 3Julian Marquez edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control1:41
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:46Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
