Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Rio enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mike Rio threatens submissions; John Cofer has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- John Cofer has 64pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Cofer (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike RioL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Francisco Trinaldo · May 13L
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Oct 13L
KOvs Daron Cruickshank · Jan 14 John Cofer
oldest →L
KOvs Justin Lawrence · Jun 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike RioMetricJohn Cofer
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.31evenly matched on net striking-0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mike RioJohn Cofer
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Rio(4 fights)John Cofer(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mike Rio edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control2:05
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:55Control
Round 2Mike Rio edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns2
Control1:34
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:50Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control2:14
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:17Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
