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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Thiago Moises won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1486

Elo1440

Thiago MoisesvsMitch RamirezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Saturday, March 16, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Thiago Moises won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 0:15

Model Prediction: Thiago Moises wins(67.8%)

Actual result: Thiago Moises wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Thiago Moises has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Thiago Moises has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Thiago Moises

Red Corner

Mitch Ramirez

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1486

Elo

1440

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'11"

177.8 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Thiago MoisesL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 23

vs Ludovit Klein · Jun 24

vs Trey Ogden · Jan 25

KOvs Jared Gordon · May 25

DECvs Gauge Young · Apr 26

latest

Mitch RamirezL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mike Davis · Jul 25

SUBvs Chase Hooper · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Thiago MoisesMetricMitch Ramirez

2.52

Strikes / min

3.51

4.40

Strikes absorbed / min

3.98

52%

Strike defense

37%

1.37

TDs / 15 min

0.59

52%

Takedown defense

25%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.88Δ 1.41 — meaningful gap-0.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Thiago MoisesMitch Ramirez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Thiago Moises(10 fights)Mitch Ramirez(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +45.4|Blue -45.4

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Thiago MoisesTargetMitch Ramirez

By target zone

43% acc · 40%

Head

13% acc · 25%

75% acc · 12%

Body

71% acc · 31%

100% acc · 48%

Leg

78% acc · 44%

By position

57% acc · 68%

Distance

29% acc · 81%

100% acc · 8%

Clinch

100% acc · 19%

86% acc · 24%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Thiago Moises rounds

even

Mitch Ramirez rounds

Round 1Thiago Moises edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control4:18

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Thiago Moises edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control2:14

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:21Control

Round 3Thiago Moises edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:04

Knockdowns1

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

25 / 39

Sig Strikes

16 / 48

69.3%

Sig Str %

33.3%

53 / 72

Total Strikes

28 / 65

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:36

Ctrl Time

0:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mitch Ramirez	6 / 8	17 / 23	0 / 0	0
1	Thiago Moises	4 / 6	25 / 31	1 / 1	1
2	Mitch Ramirez	10 / 39	11 / 41	0 / 0	0
2	Thiago Moises	15 / 26	22 / 34	1 / 1	0
3	Mitch Ramirez	0 / 1	0 / 1	0 / 0	0
3	Thiago Moises	6 / 7	6 / 7	0 / 0	0

Thiago Moises

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights15

Mitch Ramirez

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights3