Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ilir Latifi has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ilir Latifi has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Derrick Lewis has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick LewisL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26L
KOvs Josh Hokit · Jun 26 Ilir Latifi
oldest →L
vs Corey Anderson · Dec 18L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Aug 19W
vs Tanner Boser · Jun 21W
vs Aleksei Oleinik · Oct 22L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricIlir Latifi
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.11evenly matched on net striking-0.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Derrick LewisIlir Latifi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Ilir Latifi(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -15.7|Blue +15.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -84.0|Blue +84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Derrick LewisTargetIlir Latifi
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:29
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:25Control
Round 2Ilir Latifi edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:08
2Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:17Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:04
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:07Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
