Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dominick Reyes has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ovince Saint Preux
oldest →L
KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21W
vs Mauricio Rua · May 22L
KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23W
vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24L
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24 Dominick Reyes
oldest →W
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Jun 24W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 24W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Apr 25L
KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Sep 25W
DECvs Johnny Walker · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ovince Saint PreuxMetricDominick Reyes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.30Δ 1.89 — meaningful gap+1.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ovince Saint PreuxDominick Reyes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)Dominick Reyes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -24.9|Blue +24.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ovince Saint PreuxTargetDominick Reyes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Ovince Saint Preux rounds
Round 1Dominick Reyes edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control1:01
52Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:30Control
Round 2Dominick Reyes edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:06
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:43Control
Round 3Dominick Reyes edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:26
Knockdowns0
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
