Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cub SwansonW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Dec 21L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 22W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Dec 24W
KOvs Nate Landwehr · Apr 26 Hakeem Dawodu
oldest →W
vs Zubaira Tukhugov · Sep 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jun 21W
vs Michael Trizano · Feb 22L
vs Julian Erosa · Sep 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cub SwansonMetricHakeem Dawodu
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.85Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap+2.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cub SwansonHakeem Dawodu
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cub Swanson(10 fights)Hakeem Dawodu(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +42.7|Blue -42.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cub SwansonTargetHakeem Dawodu
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Hakeem Dawodu edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Hakeem Dawodu edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:04
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:20Control
Round 3Hakeem Dawodu edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns1
Control1:21
37Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:50Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
