Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rustam Khabilov has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rustam Khabilov has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jason Saggo
oldest →W
KOvs Josh Shockley · Jun 14W
KOvs Justin Salas · Mar 16W
vs Leandro Silva · Jun 16L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Sep 17 Rustam Khabilov
oldest →W
vs Leandro Silva · Sep 16W
vs Desmond Green · Sep 17W
vs Kajan Johnson · Sep 18L
vs Diego Ferreira · Feb 19W
vs Sergey Khandozhko · Nov 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jason SaggoMetricRustam Khabilov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.44evenly matched on net striking-0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jason SaggoRustam Khabilov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jason Saggo(6 fights)Rustam Khabilov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -130.2|Blue +130.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jason SaggoTargetRustam Khabilov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Rustam Khabilov edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:05Control
Round 2Rustam Khabilov edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:10Control
Round 3Rustam Khabilov edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:34Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
