Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alan Belcher is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Yushin Okami has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Yushin Okami has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Yushin Okami (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yushin Okami
oldest →W
vs Hector Lombard · Mar 13L
KOvs Jacare Souza · Sep 13L
SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Sep 17L
vs Aleksei Kunchenko · Dec 18 Alan Belcher
oldest →W
SUBvs Patrick Cote · May 10W
KOvs Jason MacDonald · Sep 11W
KOvs Rousimar Palhares · May 12L
vs Michael Bisping · Apr 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yushin OkamiMetricAlan Belcher
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.19evenly matched on net striking-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Yushin OkamiAlan Belcher
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yushin Okami(10 fights)Alan Belcher(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +139.3|Blue -139.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -98.0|Blue +98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Yushin OkamiTargetAlan Belcher
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Yushin Okami edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control1:03
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:28Control
Round 2Yushin Okami edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control3:38
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 3Yushin Okami edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control3:20
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:51Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
