Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Derek Brunson is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Edmen Shahbazyan has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Edmen Shahbazyan is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Derek Brunson has lost 86% of fights by KO.
- Derek Brunson has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Derek Brunson (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derek BrunsonL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Ian Heinisch · Aug 19W
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 21W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 21L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 22L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Mar 23 Edmen Shahbazyan
oldest →L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 24W
KOvs Dylan Budka · Feb 25W
vs Andre Petroski · Jun 25W
KOvs Andre Muniz · Oct 25L
DECvs Brendan Allen · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derek BrunsonMetricEdmen Shahbazyan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.46evenly matched on net striking+0.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Derek BrunsonEdmen Shahbazyan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derek Brunson(10 fights)Edmen Shahbazyan(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -58.3|Blue +58.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Derek BrunsonTargetEdmen Shahbazyan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Derek Brunson edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns1
Control0:59
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Derek Brunson edged it
Sig. strikes54
Takedowns2
Control2:01
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 3Derek Brunson edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control0:06
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
