Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marcelo Guimaraes has 25pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Dan Stittgen has 100pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcelo Guimaraes
oldest →L
KOvs Hyun Gyu Lim · Mar 13L
KOvs Vitor Miranda · Mar 16 Dan Stittgen
oldest →L
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Feb 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcelo GuimaraesMetricDan Stittgen
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.26Δ 1.71 — meaningful gap-1.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marcelo GuimaraesDan Stittgen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcelo Guimaraes(4 fights)Dan Stittgen(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +138.9|Blue -138.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marcelo GuimaraesTargetDan Stittgen
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Marcelo Guimaraes rounds
Round 1Marcelo Guimaraes edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control4:16
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control2:14
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 3Marcelo Guimaraes edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control1:04
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
