Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Derrick Lewis is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Damian Grabowski has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Damian Grabowski has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Derrick Lewis has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Derrick Lewis has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick LewisL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26L
KOvs Josh Hokit · Jun 26 Damian GrabowskiL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Anthony Hamilton · Jul 16L
vs Chase Sherman · Jul 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricDamian Grabowski
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.11Δ 3.54 — meaningful gap-3.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Derrick LewisDamian Grabowski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Damian Grabowski(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +120.4|Blue -120.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.9|Blue +48.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Derrick LewisTargetDamian Grabowski
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Derrick Lewis edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control1:59
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
